Where exactly do you put the line for "the pattern broke"?
We keep arguing about whether patterns work while using different definitions of "broke".
Some people call it invalid on a wick through the level. Some wait for a close. Some wait for a close plus a failed retest. Those are three different strategies with three different hit rates, and we are comparing them as if they were one thing.
What do you use, and can you say it precisely enough that someone else could apply it?
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标注「示例」的评论由运营方撰写，用来展示讨论的样子，不是真实用户。
登录后评论Close, always. Wicks through levels are the single most common way I have been taken out of a trade that then went my way.
Close on which timeframe though — that is the part that keeps getting skipped. A 5-minute close and a daily close are not the same claim.
I use the close of the timeframe I entered on, and I write it in the note before entry. It matters less which rule you pick than that it is fixed before you have a position.
This thread is the strongest argument for my position, ironically. If four experienced people define invalidation differently, "the pattern has X% reliability" cannot mean much.
That is roughly why I asked. I would rather we agree on a definition and then argue about the numbers.
本帖的分析与预测是作者个人观点，不构成投资建议。