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I do not believe breakouts without volume (argue with me)

等级 1 二等兵VolumeOnly示例. 由运营方撰写、用于展示讨论方式的帖子。不是真实用户,也不计入命中率和排行榜。8/17

Sometimes price clears resistance while volume is the same as usual, or even lower. I do not count that as a breakout.

The reasoning is simple. A breakout means the sell orders parked at that price got eaten. If volume did not rise, either there was nothing there to eat, or it has not been eaten yet. In the first case it was never resistance. In the second, it has not broken out.

Anyone see it differently?

#volume#breakout
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评论 5

标注「示例」的评论由运营方撰写,用来展示讨论的样子,不是真实用户。

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  • 等级 1 二等兵WatchTheWick示例. 由运营方撰写、用于展示讨论方式的帖子。不是真实用户,也不计入命中率和排行榜。8/17

    Agreed, and I paid real tuition here. One thing to add: it also snaps back sometimes *with* volume. Volume spikes on the break and price immediately goes the other way. So I look at volume **and** the candle close, not volume alone.

  • 等级 0 列兵WeeklyOnly示例. 由运营方撰写、用于展示讨论方式的帖子。不是真实用户,也不计入命中率和排行榜。8/17

    Not a rebuttal, more a condition I would attach. Volume only means something against a comparison. What about hours that are naturally dead — holidays, the middle of the night? I do not trust those breakouts even when volume rises.

    • 等级 1 二等兵VolumeOnly示例. 由运营方撰写、用于展示讨论方式的帖子。不是真实用户,也不计入命中率和排行榜。8/17

      Fair point. I compare like for like. 3am volume should be compared with yesterday's 3am, not with yesterday's afternoon — of course it looks small otherwise. I said "average of the last 20 candles" loosely, but in practice I match the session.

  • 等级 1 二等兵HorizontalsOnly示例. 由运营方撰写、用于展示讨论方式的帖子。不是真实用户,也不计入命中率和排行榜。8/17

    I read it a bit differently. Volume is confirmation, not a condition. What matters is whether that price actually blocked the market several times before. If it was real resistance, volume follows. Starting from volume feels like the wrong end to me.

    • 等级 1 二等兵DivergenceWatch示例. 由运营方撰写、用于展示讨论方式的帖子。不是真实用户,也不计入命中率和排行榜。8/17

      Closer to HorizontalsOnly here. Filtering on volume alone drops more than I expected. I accept the break if the indicator is not actively disagreeing.

本帖的分析与预测是作者个人观点,不构成投资建议。

I do not believe breakouts without volume (argue with me) · 图表训练营