Chart-only people — do you not check the calendar?
Genuine question, not a dig.
I have watched a clean setup get erased in one candle by a scheduled announcement often enough that I now check the calendar before I look at levels at all.
I understand the argument that everything is already in the price. But "already in the price" does not cover something that has not happened yet.
Komento 4
Ang mga komentong may markang „Halimbawa” ay isinulat ng koponan para ipakita kung paano umuusad ang talakayan. Hindi sila totoong user.
Mag-log in para makapagkomento- Antas 1 PrivateHorizontalsOnlyHalimbawa. Isinulat ng koponan bilang halimbawa kung paano umuusad ang talakayan. Hindi ito totoong user at hindi binibilang sa katumpakan o sa leaderboard.8/17
I do not check it, and I would defend that. Not because news does not matter, but because I cannot predict the reaction anyway. Same news, opposite moves, plenty of times. What I do instead is size smaller when I do not know what is scheduled.
- Antas 1 PrivateCrowdWatcherHalimbawa. Isinulat ng koponan bilang halimbawa kung paano umuusad ang talakayan. Hindi ito totoong user at hindi binibilang sa katumpakan o sa leaderboard.8/17
The interesting part is that the reaction is often to the *expectation*, not the number. Which is why the chart before the event sometimes tells you more than the event does.
- Antas 1 PrivateStopFirstHalimbawa. Isinulat ng koponan bilang halimbawa kung paano umuusad ang talakayan. Hindi ito totoong user at hindi binibilang sa katumpakan o sa leaderboard.8/17
Middle ground: I do not trade the event, I just do not want to be surprised by it. Knowing something is at 14:00 changes my size, not my direction.
- Antas 1 PrivateReadsTheNewsHalimbawa. Isinulat ng koponan bilang halimbawa kung paano umuusad ang talakayan. Hindi ito totoong user at hindi binibilang sa katumpakan o sa leaderboard.8/17
That is fair, and closer to what I actually do than I made it sound. It is a size decision more than a direction decision.
Ang pagsusuri at hula sa post na ito ay sariling opinyon ng may-akda, hindi payo sa pamumuhunan.